Oklahoma gubernatorial election, 2010

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Oklahoma gubernatorial election, 2010
Oklahoma
2006 ←
November 2, 2010
→ 2014

  Mary Fallin official 110th Congress photo.jpg Jari Askins cropped.jpg
Nominee Mary Fallin Jari Askins
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 625,506 409,261
Percentage 60.45% 39.55%

Oklahoma gov race 2010.svg

County results

Governor before election

Brad Henry
Democratic

Elected Governor

Mary Fallin
Republican

The Oklahoma gubernatorial election of 2010 was held on November 2, 2010 to elect the Governor of Oklahoma. Due to term limits placed on him by the Oklahoma Constitution, incumbent Democratic Governor Brad Henry could not seek re-election. The race had been hotly contested by both political parties, with several well-known Oklahomans announcing their candidacy up to two years before the election. The non-partisan Cook Political Report and CQ Politics rate the gubernatorial election as "likely Republican" and "leaning Republican," respectively.12 On November 2, 2010 Republican candidate Mary Fallin was elected, defeating Democratic candidate Jari Askins.

Overview

Democratic Governor Brad Henry was easily re-elected in 2006 and maintains the highest approval rating of any state official in Oklahoma.3 In 2008, Republicans made gains in the state legislature and took control of both the House and the Senate for the first time in Oklahoma history.

As both parties nominated female candidates (Jari Askins for the Democrats and Mary Fallin for the Republicans; both of whom have also previously held the office of lieutenant governor), and as no third-party or write-in candidate qualified for the ballot, Oklahoma was guaranteed its first ever female governor.

Democratic primary

Announced

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Drew Edmondson Jari Askins
SoonerPoll.com July 16–21, 2010 49% 33%
Sooner Survey July 18–20, 2010 38% 27%
SoonerPoll.com May 25-June 9, 2010 37% 36%
SoonerPoll.com Jan. 2-5, 2010 46% 36%

Results

Democratic primary results6
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jari Askins 132,591 50.28%
Democratic Drew Edmondson 131,097 49.72%
Totals 263,688 100.00%

Republican primary

Announced

  • Mary Fallin, former Lieutenant Governor and current Congresswoman for Oklahoma's 5th congressional district7
  • Roger L. Jackson, retired businessman, former President of the Oklahoma Office Machine Dealers Association (OOMDA)8
  • Randy Brogdon, state senator9
  • Robert Hubbard, business owner of Piedmont, Oklahoma's "Hubbard Ranch Supply"10

Declined

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Mary Fallin Randy Brogdon
SoonerPoll.com July 16–21, 2010 56% 18%
Sooner Survey July 18–20, 2010 50% 22%
SoonerPoll.com May 25-June 9, 2010 59% 10%
SoonerPoll.com Jan. 2-5, 2010 68% 16%

Results

Republican primary results6
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mary Fallin 136,477 54.79%
Republican Randy Brogdon 98,170 39.41%
Republican Robert Hubbard 8,132 3.26%
Republican Roger L. Jackson 6,290 2.53%
Totals 249,069 100.00%

Predictions

Source Rating As of
Cook Political Report Likely R12 October 30, 2010
Rothenberg Report Likely R13 October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics Safe R14 October 30, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Likely R15 October 28, 2010
CQ Politics Leans R16 October 30, 2010
New York Times R17 October 30, 2010
Rasmussen Reports Safe R18 October 30, 2010

General election

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Mary Fallin Jari Askins
SoonerPoll.com October 23, 2010 56% 39%
SoonerPoll.com October 7, 2010 54% 36%
Rasmussen Reports September 23, 2010 60% 34%
Rasmussen Reports August 26, 2010 52% 37%
Rasmussen Reports July 28, 2010 57% 36%
SoonerPoll.com July 16–21, 2010 46% 40%
Rasmussen Reports June 30, 2010 55% 32%
SoonerPoll.com May 25-June 9, 2010 49% 36%
Rasmussen Reports February 24, 2010 51% 37%
SoonerPoll.com Jan. 2-5, 2010 52% 36%
Public Policy Polling May 13–17, 2009 50% 34%

Results

Oklahoma gubernatorial election, 201019
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Mary Fallin 625,506 60.45% +26.95%
Democratic Jari Askins 409,261 39.55% -26.95%
Majority 216,245 20.90% -12.11%
Turnout 1,034,767
Republican gain from Democratic

References

  1. ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 25, 2010. 
  2. ^ "Races for Governor in 2010". CQ Politics. Retrieved October 25, 2010. 
  3. ^ SoonerPoll (January 10, 2010). "Henry Leads in Approval". SoonerPoll. Retrieved 2010-06-03. 
  4. ^ McNutt, Michael. "Oklahoma Lt. Gov. Jari Askins said she will run for governor in 2010." NewsOk.com, January 4, 2009.
  5. ^ Edmondson says he will run for governor in 2010
  6. ^ a b http://www.ok.gov/elections/support/10pri.html
  7. ^ [1]dead link
  8. ^ "Roger L. Jackson for Oklahoma Governor". Jacksonforokgov.com. Retrieved 2010-08-21. 
  9. ^ "Owasso Sen. Brogdon to run for governor". Tulsa World. 2009-04-18. Retrieved 2010-08-21. 
  10. ^ Estus, John, "Oklahoma candidate filing period marks start of busy campaign season," The Oklahoman, May 31, 2010.
  11. ^ http://newsok.com/j.c.-watts-rules-out-run-for-governor/article/3371761?custom_click=lead_story_title
  12. ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 30, 2010. 
  13. ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 30, 2010. 
  14. ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 30, 2010. 
  15. ^ "2010 Governor Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 30, 2010. 
  16. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Retrieved October 30, 2010. 
  17. ^ "Governor Race Ratings". New York Times. Retrieved October 30, 2010. 
  18. ^ "Election 2010: Gubernatorial Scorecard". Rasmussen Reports. Retrieved October 30, 2010. 
  19. ^ "Election Results" (pdf). Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved 2010-11-11. 

External links

Debates
Official campaign sites







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